Rape statistics: A clearer picture at last? Part 2: Child rape & a general opinion.

Posted: February 5, 2014 in Uncategorized

So, we come to part two of what is now my 3rd multiple-entry entry. I didn’t realise how long the first entry to this blog would be (unlike the previous 2-parter) and wasn’t panning on splitting it, but the article I am using has, quite helpfully, split their statistics in two. The first half of the article deals with adult rape, the second half with child rape. It seemed to make sense, once I realised how long the first entry was coming, to make a natural split, allowing people to see each set of data independently rather than having to wade through a ton of info to get to the data they wanted to focus on.

So, this one will deal with child rape. As I tried to convey in the previous entry (to what degree of success I don’t know) I don’t have the answer to any of the questions either I pose or the article poses. This isn’t supposed to be a ‘this is what we need to do’ entry, it’s merely highlighting what I consider to be the most comprehensive set of data I’ve seen in recent months. Never mind any propaganda, any mistruths, any misleading statistics that are over 30 years old. These statistics are from the year leading up to March 2013, so very recent. That’s still nearly a year ago, so things might have changed, and with the recent sex scandals in the news dealing with celebrities there probably will be a difference, but this article was posted late last week and seems up-to-date enough for me to comment on them.

The opening of this section of the article serves as a stark reminder of the horrors of rape:

‘In the last financial year to March 2013 there were around 6,000 recorded rapes of children and roughly 10,000 recorded rapes of adults in England and Wales, up from around 5,000 and 6,000 respectively in 2008/09.’

As with the adult stats, this article doesn’t distinguish between male and female children, so I’m going to assume they are both inclusive, not focusing on one gender. As it stands, the 10,000 figure stated above is contradictory to the 13,000 figure I quoted in the last entry as a worst-case-scenario figure. But even if we use this new figure as the recorded rapes, and go by the assumption that 90% of rapes are unreported, that still only gives us 19,000 rapes, including men and women, which still goes some way to explaining how shaky the ground is for the magical 1 in 4 statistic.

What is worrying is that the amount of recorded rapes appears to have increased in the 4 years previous to these statistics. However, I think there’s a very good reason for this, and it doesn’t boil down to the fact that more children are being molested, rather that more children (or indeed children who are now adults) are simply reporting their abuse.

It’s very easy to say that, as stats have risen, the number of crimes committed must have risen too, but that’s far too simple a way of looking at it. What if, the number of crimes stayed the same, but due to a breakthrough in public perception of child abuse victims, the number of people reporting it has increased? It’s simple, the amount of actual crime doesn’t change, it’s simply a rise in the amount of people who feel confident reporting it.

For example, the Jimmy Saville scandal broke in 2012 (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jimmy_Savile_sexual_abuse_scandal) and had shortly racked up hundreds of victims. I’ve absolutely no doubt that if you looked at the recorded rapes for children under 16 for 2011 and then compared them for the calendar year after the Saville scandal broke (so October[ish] 2012 to October2013) the stats would have sky-rocketed! It’s just one way in which statistics don’t tell the full story, you always have to apply some context to them. In this case, as I said in the previous entry, there’s no link to the actual databases these stats come from, so I’m going to take them as they are, just with a pinch of salt and not take them as absolute.

Either way, 6,000 child rapes is still pretty horrific, and, again, that’s probably not all of them. If we apply the 90%-not-reported theory, that’s still nearly 12,000 child rapes in this country in one year, that’s pretty horrific. According to the same website I used for the population figures in the previous blog (which was, in no way, scientific) there are 13.7 million children living in the UK. Again, no breakdown of gender, but then there’s no breakdown of gender in the rape stats, so that’s 12,000 children out of 13 million being raped. Either way you at look at it, it’s pretty bad, especially considering these are children under 16, their lives have barely started and they’re already subjected to some of the worst suffering you could ever inflict on another human.

As with adult rapes, the statistics for how often rapists were convicted varied from force to force:

‘Humberside Police had the highest recorded child rape rate at 106 per 100,000, compared with Hertfordshire, which had the lowest at 28. The average for England and Wales is 59.5 per 100,000.

Surrey Police had the highest sanction detection rate for child rapes at 55%, while Essex had the lowest at 13%. The average in England and Wales was 31%.’

Still, even with all the variation, the rate of sanction-detention in Surrey is impressively high at 55%, while even the average for England and Wales being 31% is much higher than I thought. Essex having the lowest at 13% is worrying but, again, with only these figures to go on, and no mitigating circumstances it’s hard to try and figure out exactly why those stats seem so low.

What is worrying is that more children seem to be being raped than adults. Not that that diminishes the suffering the adults go through, but an average of 59.5 per 100,000 is more than double the amount that are suffered by adults. Now, I should have proven by now that I am no mathematician, so it could be that having a lower number of people (13 million children to 50 odd million adults) could affect those figures somewhat, but I don’t see how they would affect it that much.

Crime prevention minister Norman Baker seems to have the right idea, rather than getting into a hysterical panic about the increase in child abuse numbers, it could very easily be explained by a greater sense of public awareness:

‘Crime prevention minister Norman Baker said the data does not suggest that incidents of rape and sexual violence are increasing, but that ” victims are more confident that reporting such incidents will now be taken more seriously”.’

It stands to reason that if the perception of child abuse has changed (not that I’ve known it to amount to anything other than pure horror) then more cases would be reported and therefore an increase in cases is to be expected. What is slightly worrying is that some people are attributing mass hysteria to these figures, particularly in the wake of the Jimmy Saville scandal.

Helen Hopwood, Policing practice developer, said national policing guidelines are being updated and would be released soon:

‘She said: “The datasets that have been published today highlight inconsistencies between forces about the outcome of rape investigations. This must be tackled.

“The College of Policing will work with the national policing leads and forces to ensure developments in training and practice in rape investigation are implemented for the benefit of victims of rape.”’

That seems like an excellent piece of news, but I do have my misgivings, and it should be obvious why. Though it is not explicitly stated here, it is no secret that, when it comes to rape, we immediately place women as victims. If there are indeed going to be updates to the way the police investigate rape and sexual abuse, would it not be a good idea to update the actual law first, seeing as it is legally impossible for a woman to rape a man, despite the fact there are stories and testimonies from men that prove it can and does happen, with a lot more regularity than anyone (save a few people who aren’t blinded by feminist propaganda) is willing to believe.

I’m not trying to diminish the horrors of rape, or the trauma to those women who have been raped, but as I’ve said, at least women have something by way of action to try and prevent rape happening. When it comes to male victims, there is precious little by way of research, or even public acceptance, of male rape victims that it’s actually quite sickening. If these reforms do take place, but don’t do anything to address the reality of male rape victims then what does that say about the ‘public perception’ of male rape? If there’s been a shift in the perception of child abuse that has lead to people feeling braver and more confident about reporting, when are we going to see the same sort of breakthrough for men? If the police forces of the country are doing their best to try and develop how they investigate rape then what does it say to the male victims out there if they aren’t included, if these reforms and developments simply focus on women?

Being optimistic, there seems to be no gender division in these statistics or the speeches made by the people contributing to the article, but if the law doesn’t change, then you can reform as much as you want, you’re still implying, well actually out-right stating, that you don’t think a woman is capable of committing rape or that a man is capable of being a victim. That’s a pretty horrendous state of affairs in 2014.

Even with all that said, the most troubling quote, perhaps of the entire article, is this quote:

‘National policing lead for crime recording Chief Constable Jeff Farrar said: ” To build people’s confidence in the way police deal with sexual offences, it is my view that allegations of rape should be recorded as a crime when it is reported without question or challenge.’

Yeah, you read that right, but I’ll just repeat the most important part:

‘it is my view that allegations of rape should be recorded as a crime when it is reported without question or challenge.’

This is the National Policing Lead for Crime Recording, the person who is responsible for how crime is recorded, suggesting that we should automatically believe all rape claimants. I bet the feminists love that idea! Whilst I don’t disagree that we shouldn’t automatically dismiss the claims of someone who is raped, what makes rape such a special crime that the person making the accusation gets the privilege of being believed without question? When you’ve seen as many false rape accusations as I’ve seen it comes across as a very ignorant statement and an incredibly dangerous generalisation.

Remember the Ohio ‘rape’? The story of a drunk women who received oral sex in public from a drunk man. The next day she saw she was plastered all over the internet and decided she was raped. Of course, everybody, feminists included, decided that simply because she claimed she’d been raped she was to be automatically believed, despite witness testimonies that directly contradicted her.

What this statement could lead to, with both adults and children, is an easy way to falsely accuse someone of rape. Being a man accused of rape in the UK is already the worst thing that could happen. Regardless of the actual outcome of any trial or investigation your name is tarnished forever. You only have to look at Michael Le Vell to see what happens when men are not granted pre-trial anonymity, even when they are found innocent:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-2417412/Michael-Le-Vell-WHEN-men-pre-conviction-anonymity-rape-trials.html

That is a celebrity; we are much more likely to hear about the suffering they go through despite being innocent. Yet, we know false accusations happen to regular men, and they don’t have the benefit of being famous enough for people to know of their innocence. What happens when a false rape accusation (and not one that’s downgraded to a ‘no-crime’, but a maliciously false allegation) allows people to put other’s lives in danger? You don’t have to do much searching to hear some of the horror stories of regular men whose lives have been ruined by malicious, callous women who have no regard for anyone other than themselves:

http://search.babylon.com/?q=innocent+man+accused+of+rape+beaten&s=web&as=0&rlz=0&babsrc=HP_ss

Generally speaking, these women get no punishment for their crimes, despite condemning the men they accuse to a life of misery and suffering, one that mirrors the suffering actual rape victims go through.

False accusations damage real rape victims by planting the seed of doubt. By claiming that every rape claim should be believed without question you imply that a rape victim’s claim is not worth enough merit on their own, that in order for it to be believable it needs to be accepted as truth. Perhaps by dealing with the false claimants first, and there are far more than anyone, particularly the feminist agenda, would have us believe, we can begin to get through to people the idea that rape victims can be believed, instead of that initial seed of cynicism that leads is to question everything.

I’ve gone a little off-topic in this blog, and the above few paragraphs can apply to children as well, there are more than enough stories of children (or indeed parents forcing children) falsifying claims of abuse against people they don’t like. Shannon Matthews is a prime example of someone using a child for their own gains. Ok, that particular case wasn’t to do with sexual abuse by a family member, rather it was to try and gain the same amount of public sympathy and money garnered by the Madeleine McCann disappearance in 2007.

Imagine a scenario, particularly in the wake of the Jimmy Saville scandal, when mass hysteria is at an all-time high, and you, as an adult, decide to see if you can make some quick cash by joining in with the accusers and saying a famous celebrity touched you when you were a child. If every victim was to be automatically believed, it would make it so easy for people like the unscrupulous individual in this particular example to get what they want simply for their own callous desires.

Again, I’m not trying to say I have all the answers, rape is still under-reported, more children are raped than I realised, the figures from various forces are too inconsistent when we’re talking about crime in 2014. But let’s not get too caught up in hysteria, there are no other crime figures to compare these too, there’s only the statistics themselves, no contextual or mitigating information, particularly on why certain rapes were declassified to ‘no-crimes’, what percentage of ‘no-crimes’ are actually outright lies, if at all. There’s still some uncertainty about these figures, the fact that there’s no gender split between them, the fact that female-on-male rape is still legally impossible just go to show that, yes, we still have  a long way to go to get a real grip on rape as a crime.

However, the positives are there to see, some forces are doing very well with their convictions, the public perception of rape is changing, despite what seems to be a growing number of maliciously false claims, the mythical 1 in 4 number seems to be exactly that, a myth, and the Jimmy Saville scandal has allowed us to perhaps have a more realistic insight into actual number of child abuse and rape.

Do I have the answers going forward? No, of course no, I’m simply saying that it’s not all bad, and we can’t let mass hysteria inducing statements like the one from Jeff Farrar influence the policing of the entire country, much like we can’t let the feminists decided what the rape statistics are, or who can and can’t be raped.

Do I think the fact that rape is hot topic among feminists is damaging the public perception of the act? Yes, I do, it’s as simple as that. With a topic as sensitive as that, we can’t allow one group of people to monopolise the word, or the act, and appoint themselves grand jury of all that is rape, it needs to be from an entirely subjective point of view. With the current hold that feminism has on rape, we can’t do that.

What’s the answer? I don’t know, but I’m more willing to believer police statistics than anything feminism has to offer.

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